April 12, 2017
Well, Gonzanga wasn't the winner, but they were in the finals and came in second. Villanova was upset early and didn't finish in the final 8. I don't know if I'm going to change the program. I could add a conference factor that might weigh the teams in a conference more or less. I probably won't work on this until next season.
March 15, 2017
Someone might ask why am I wasting my time with this March Madness Basketball stuff on a wargaming site. It's just an exercise in probability. I'm using the Ballistic hit rectangular probability equations for something they weren't designed for.
So the most probable tournament winner is Gonzanga. Next is Villanova. So if these don't show up in the final four I might change the probability equations to the ellipse probability equations as they have less certainty above 50%. So teams with lower rankings and worse records have a little better chance.
Also I'm working on a new program to feed sighting range estimation into the Ballistics program. Up to now it has just been a guess of how good the range estimation a tank gun with a certain sight could achieve. I'm trying to make a quantitative estimate based of telescope sight characteristics. Like magnification x field of view x light transmission % as a factor. Then this adjusted by training and ranging calibration and maybe something else. It will produce a standard deviation of range error. I'll post a page with different sight values when I am finished..
March 13, 2017
It is back! March Madness Basketball Bracket Breaker program has been updated for the 2017 March Mad Basketball tournament. After a hiatus of 3 years I decided to play again.
January 17, 2017
I had to revise my Soviet gun dispersion page 34 when I found out that the 1951 US document I was basing my calculations on had mis-translated captured Russian firing table information. It had translated Russian 'mean deviation' for 'median deviation'. That may seem a small matter but they are not mathematically the same. When the deviation is described as 'median deviation' it results in making the 50% probability of a hit ~18% less likely. In effect making Russian guns less accurate. Several pages have to be changed so it may take awhile to do.
December 22, 2016
A new page of a tongue-
in-cheek look at R&D military science in Star Wars.
October 14, 2016
A new page on some strange ballistic behavior I found examining WWII Firing Tables. I have no opinion as to whether or not they are in error or not. It just requires more work to get my ballistic calculator to match the firing tables of these guns. This is outside the equations of Robert McCoy who came up with the original programming of the ballistic program. See page 52.
September 5, 2016